Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.090067 3.439218 3.817217 4.257751 4.758186 5.310279 5.967229
2025-03-09 2.536391 2.995043 3.526758 4.192100 5.007043 5.978633 7.233518
2025-03-16 2.184289 2.693874 3.315359 4.135853 5.200613 6.549331 8.408934
2025-03-23 2.018942 2.582034 3.298689 4.289073 5.640128 7.444931 10.082808
2025-03-30 1.831710 2.412957 3.179032 4.278603 5.842815 8.028925 11.388938
2025-04-06 1.671763 2.259232 3.057333 4.241528 5.989749 8.533768 12.626216
2025-04-13 1.481131 2.043553 2.826741 4.020948 5.838990 8.575626 13.151143
2025-04-20 1.385737 1.952423 2.761577 4.030261 6.023830 9.132042 14.543825
2025-04-27 1.322648 1.901452 2.748140 4.112151 6.323076 9.892089 16.363188
2025-05-04 1.265519 1.853742 2.733861 4.188340 6.616277 10.668022 18.307777
2025-05-11 1.206846 1.798478 2.702309 4.231710 6.855830 11.374180 20.217203
2025-05-18 1.150334 1.741917 2.663387 4.257633 7.064981 12.045089 22.147553
2025-05-25 1.067062 1.638848 2.544946 4.143942 7.026054 12.278438 23.287424
2025-06-01 1.004610 1.565101 2.468891 4.096232 7.100177 12.728601 24.933405
2025-06-08 0.947241 1.495691 2.394725 4.044735 7.160659 13.156802 26.594788
2025-06-15 0.930518 1.492542 2.431750 4.194753 7.615168 14.410514 30.257516
2025-06-22 0.887991 1.442650 2.384242 4.184695 7.756528 15.043454 32.614236
2025-06-29 0.844749 1.388724 2.325745 4.148589 7.841192 15.565354 34.791987
2025-07-06 0.777627 1.289217 2.179698 3.933575 7.540438 15.223453 34.797145
2025-07-13 0.748544 1.255349 2.150149 3.942655 7.706221 15.926883 37.559448
2025-07-20 0.731331 1.241608 2.156356 4.022487 8.029394 17.023784 41.548013
2025-07-27 0.714280 1.227052 2.159871 4.096754 8.347406 18.148060 45.827658
2025-08-03 0.694062 1.205423 2.148448 4.139027 8.597914 19.142055 49.936471